Mia Ristic vs Matilde PaolettiW75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Semi-final

W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 · ITF · Semi-final
#219WTA
1504ELO
1479Clay ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
#1227WTA
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLLW
Ristic M.
5-7 7-5 6-4
Paoletti M.
Ristic M.
5762
Paoletti M.
7541

Mia Ristic defeated Matilde Paoletti in the semifinals of the W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 clay tournament, winning 5-7, 7-5, 6-4. Ristic served eight aces to Paoletti's zero and committed one double fault to Paoletti's ten. Ristic won 64 percent of her first serves and converted 47 percent of her break points, while Paoletti converted 53 percent of her break points.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-23W75 Porto 1R16hardMatilde Paoletti6-4 4-6 7-5
2024-07-30W75 Cordenons 1R32clayMatilde Paoletti6-4 6-7(3) 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
62%
50%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
42%
Service points won·Clear edge
59%
47%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
56%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.0
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Ristic M.74%
Paoletti M.26%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ristic M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ristic M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw