Sofia Kenin vs Eva Lys — Cincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
Sofia Kenin
USAWC
Sofia Kenin
#115WTA
1694ELO
1659Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
Eva Lys
GERLL
Eva Lys
#92WTA
1791ELO
1770Hard ELO
24 yrs · 165 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLWL
Kenin S.
1-6 6-3 6-3
Lys E.
Kenin S.
1662
Lys E.
6331

Sofia Kenin defeated Eva Lys in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. Kenin won the match 1-6, 6-3, 6-3. Kenin converted 80% of her break points and won four service breaks to Lys' three.

Key context

  • Match story: Sofia Kenin dropped the opening set before beating Eva Lys 1–6 6–3 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kenin S.Lys E.
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
56%
50%
Return points won·Even
39%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
47%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kenin S.Lys E.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
53
45
Break points saved·Dominant
65
9
Break points won·Slight edge
87
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
66
Tiebreaks·
53
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Kenin S.33%
Lys E.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Lys E. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kenin S.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Lys E.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1659
Surface ELO
6.4+111 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1791
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.61 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.54 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kenin S.Lys E.
Freshness·Even
72
73

Kenin S.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 56 games (7d) · Lys E.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 75%

Draw