Emma Navarro vs Anhelina KalininaCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#28WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#51WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWL
Navarro E.
3-6 6-4 6-2
Kalinina A.
Navarro E.
3662
Kalinina A.
6421

Emma Navarro defeated Anhelina Kalinina in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-4, 6-2. Navarro hit 15 aces to Kalinina's 2 and converted 57% of her break points, compared to Kalinina's 33%. Navarro won 80% of her first-serve points to Kalinina's 70%, and broke Kalinina's serve 4 times to 3.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-05-03W100 Charleston 1QFclayEmma Navarro6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 52). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
71
41
Break points saved·Dominant
45
11
Break points won·Slight edge
97
89
Deciding sets·Even
88
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
70
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Navarro E.68%
Kalinina A.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Navarro E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+20 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1743
5.5Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1827
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 69% in Usa (85)
Country comfort
6.1Won 68% in Usa (34)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
76
78

Navarro E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Kalinina A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw