Andre Ilagan vs Tristan SchoolkateBrownsburg Quarter-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 3rd on
#188ATP
1549ELO
1514Hard ELO
$250kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLW
Ilagan A.
6-4 2-6 6-1
Schoolkate T.
Ilagan A.
6262
Schoolkate T.
4611

Andre Ilagan advanced to the semifinals of the Brownsburg quarterfinals by defeating Tristan Schoolkate 6-4, 2-6, 6-1. Ilagan hit 4 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 70% of first-serve points. Schoolkate recorded 5 aces and converted 50% of break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Andre Ilagan came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 2–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
7.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
37
46
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
90
Break points won·Clear edge
17
0
Deciding sets·Clear edge
71
85
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
14
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Ilagan A.38%
Schoolkate T.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Schoolkate T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.1+4 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1514
4.9Overall Elo 1543
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1549
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
7.47 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.7Won 62% in Usa (52)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
68
54

Ilagan A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Schoolkate T.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 136 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw