Tristan Mccormick vs Philip HenningM25 Idanha-A-Nova Semi-final

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Semi-final
#658ATP
1086ELO
1099Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#299ATP
1461ELO
1485Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLLW
Mccormick T.
4-6 6-7
Henning P.
Mccormick T.
4600
Henning P.
6772

Philip Henning defeated Tristan Mccormick in the semifinals of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament, winning 6-4, 7-6 on hard courts. Henning served 8 aces to Mccormick's 5 and won 82% of his first-serve points to Mccormick's 70%. Henning converted 33% of break points, while Mccormick converted 50%, but Henning secured 2 service breaks to Mccormick's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
43%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mccormick T.19%
Henning P.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Henning P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
0.2Hard Elo 1099
Surface ELO
9.8+386 Hard Elo edge
0.3Overall Elo 1086
ELO gap
9.7Overall Elo 1461
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Henning P.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw