Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd HarrisBrownsburg Semi-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWL
Milavsky D.
7-6 3-6 3-6
Harris L.
Milavsky D.
78331
Harris L.
66662

Lloyd Harris defeated Daniel Milavsky in the semifinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament, 6-7, 6-3, 6-3. Harris hit 10 aces to Milavsky's 5 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to 0% for Milavsky. Harris won 81% of his first-serve points to Milavsky's 69%, and he broke Milavsky's serve 3 times while saving his own serve well.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
76%
69%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.3
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Milavsky D.30%
Harris L.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Harris L. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.2Hard Elo 1337
Surface ELO
8.8+303 Hard Elo edge
1.0Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
9.0Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.1Won 68% in Usa (40)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
63
45

Milavsky D.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Harris L.: played today · 6 matches, 143 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw