Nikita Filin vs Karl Poling — M25 East Lansing Semi-final
M25 East Lansing · ITF · Semi-final
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
Filin N.4-6 6-4 6-7
Poling K.
Filin N.
46641
Poling K.
64772
Karl Poling defeated Nikita Filin in the M25 East Lansing semifinals, advancing with a 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 win. Poling hit 3 aces and 7 double faults, winning 72 percent of first-serve points and converting 21 percent of break points. Both players earned 3 service breaks; Filin hit 8 aces and 13 double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Karl Poling edged Nikita Filin in three tight sets (6–4 4–6 7–6).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·
—
67%
1st serve points won·
—
66%
2nd serve points won·
—
52%
Service points won·
—
61%
Return points won·
—
41%
Break points saved·
—
59%
Aces / match·
—
1.7
Double faults / match·
—
3.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTCFilin N.41%
Poling K.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Poling K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
4.25 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.9Won 48% in Usa (27)
Country comfort5.2Won 53% in Usa (36)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
21°CMainly clear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 76%