Alexandra Eala vs Elena Gabriela RuseCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#20WTA
1895ELO
1833Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
21 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#74WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLLWWW
Eala A.
6-1 3-0
Gabriela Ruse E.
Eala A.
631
Gabriela Ruse E.
100

Alexandra Eala advanced in the Cincinnati Round of 64 after Elena Gabriela Ruse retired during their match. At the time of Ruse's retirement, Eala led 6-1, 3-0. Eala converted all five of her break points and won 67 percent of her first-serve points en route to the win.

Around the match

  • Eala returns to Cincinnati after withdrawing last year due to shoulder injury; playing her best tennis this season with a WTA title and Wimbledon R16 breakthrough.

  • I'm just trying to take it all in.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-22US OpenQ32hardElena Gabriela Ruse3-6 6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
56%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
4.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
45
45
Break points saved·Even
12
11
Break points won·Slight edge
83
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
74
86
Tiebreaks·
18

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Eala A.71%
Gabriela Ruse E.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Eala A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1754
5.6Overall Elo 1895
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1850
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
84
88

Eala A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 10 games (7d) · Gabriela Ruse E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw