Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin Tirante — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
Novak Djokovic
SRB3
Novak Djokovic
#5ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
Thiago Agustin Tirante
ARG
Thiago Agustin Tirante
#50ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWL
Djokovic N.
6-2 4-6 4-6
Tirante T.
Djokovic N.
6441
Tirante T.
2662

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Novak Djokovic in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 2-6, 6-4, 6-4. Tirante hit 13 aces and had a first-serve win percentage of 88%, while Djokovic had 5 aces and a first-serve win percentage of 78%. Both players converted 2 service breaks, with Tirante converting 13% of break points and Djokovic converting 33%.

Around the match

  • “I wasn't aware that this was the first main-draw Masters 1000 that I played in my career. It must have been 2005, right?”

    Djokovic N.Cincinnati Open ↗

  • “The family did it for me all these years, for most of my career, most of my life. I need to get out of that kind of role. I'm trying to balance the roles of a professional tennis player and father, husband, son, brother.”

    Djokovic N.Cincinnati Open ↗

  • “It's going to be one of the days that I will remember for all of my life.”

    Tirante T.Cincinnati Open ↗

  • “He's the GOAT”

    Tirante T.ATP Tour ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Djokovic N.Tirante T.
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
53%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.3
8.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Djokovic N.Tirante T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
39
Break points saved·Dominant
100
75
Break points won·Dominant
99
15
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
12

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Djokovic N.78%
Tirante T.22%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Djokovic N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Djokovic N.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Tirante T.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.8+386 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.2Hard Elo 1636
9.0Overall Elo 2059
ELO gap
1.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Djokovic N.Tirante T.
Freshness·Dominant
84
53

Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 81%

Draw