Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio CobolliCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#66ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLWWWWLL
Kecmanovic M.
1-6 6-4 3-6
Cobolli F.
Kecmanovic M.
1631
Cobolli F.
6462

Flavio Cobolli defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Cobolli hit 13 aces and converted 42% of break points, while Kecmanovic hit 3 aces and converted 22%. Cobolli also won 85% of first-serve points and broke Kecmanovic's serve 5 times.

Key context

  • Match story: Flavio Cobolli came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardFlavio Cobolli3-6 6-3 6-4
2026-02-23AcapulcoSFhardFlavio Cobolli7-6 3-6 6-4
2022-10-17NaplesR32hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-1 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.5
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
28
74
Break points saved·Even
94
95
Break points won·Even
37
38
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Kecmanovic M.33%
Cobolli F.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cobolli F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
6.3+101 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1896
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.87 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
62

Kecmanovic M.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Cobolli F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw