Andrey Chepelev vs Stefan Horia HaitaM25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Semi-final

M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 · ITF · Semi-final
#359ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
#814ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLWW
Chepelev A.
4-6 6-4 4-6
Horia Haita S.
Chepelev A.
4641
Horia Haita S.
6462

Stefan Horia Haita defeated Andrey Chepelev 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 in the semifinals of the M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 clay tournament. Haita hit 8 aces and 3 double faults, winning 71% of first-serve points and converting 43% of break points. He won 3 service breaks to Chepelev's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Stefan Horia Haita edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
71%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
8.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Chepelev A.70%
Horia Haita S.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chepelev A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.03 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.03 of last 8 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
100

Chepelev A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Horia Haita S.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw