Nicolas Kicker vs Marco Cecchinato — Todi Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Nicolas Kicker
ARGALT
Nicolas Kicker
#366ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
34 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
Marco Cecchinato
ITA3
Marco Cecchinato
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWLW
Kicker N.
6-4 4-6 6-2
Cecchinato M.
Kicker N.
6462
Cecchinato M.
4621

Nicolas Kicker defeated Marco Cecchinato in the semifinals of the Todi tournament on clay, prevailing 6-4, 4-6, 6-2. Kicker served 0 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Cecchinato had 4 aces and 3 double faults. Kicker converted 44% of break points and broke Cecchinato's serve 4 times, compared to Cecchinato's 2 breaks and 100% conversion on break points.

Key context

  • Match story: Nicolas Kicker closed it out in three sets, 6–4 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

1–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-05CordobaQ1clayMarco Cecchinato6-1 6-4
2024-02-03CordobaQ16clayMarco Cecchinato6-1 6-4
2017-02-27Sao PauloQ2clayMarco Cecchinato6-1 5-7 6-2
2017-02-20Rio de JaneiroR32clayNicolas Kicker7-5 6-0

Statistics

This season
Kicker N.Cecchinato M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
65%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kicker N.Cecchinato M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
39
Break points saved·Dominant
50
79
Break points won·Clear edge
36
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
59
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kicker N.29%
Cecchinato M.71%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cecchinato M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kicker N.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Cecchinato M.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
7.2+173 Clay Elo edge
2.6Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
7.4Overall Elo 1576
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
6.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kicker N.Cecchinato M.
Freshness·Slight edge
76
81

Kicker N.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Cecchinato M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw