Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joaquin Aguilar CardozoM15 Asuncion Final

M15 Asuncion · ITF · Final
#322ATP
1361ELO
1350Clay ELO
31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
#503ATP
1281ELO
1285Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Villanueva G.
3-6 6-7
Aguilar Cardozo J.
Villanueva G.
3650
Aguilar Cardozo J.
6772

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo won the M15 Asuncion final, defeating Gonzalo Villanueva 6-3, 7-6 on clay. Aguilar Cardozo hit 0 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 57% of break points and winning 62% of first-serve points. Villanueva had 4 aces and 4 double faults, converting 33% of break points and winning 59% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-17Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion 2 (Paraguay), ClayR16clayGonzalo Villanueva0-6 5-7

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
52%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
0.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Villanueva G.47%
Aguilar Cardozo J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+66 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Clay Elo 1285
6.0Overall Elo 1360
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1281
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
7.17 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw