Jaime Faria vs Jenson BrooksbyCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#79ATP
1735ELO
1615Hard ELO
$531kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
Faria J.
6-3 6-2
Brooksby J.
Faria J.
662
Brooksby J.
320

Jenson Brooksby defeated Jaime Faria in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-3, 6-2 on hard courts. Brooksby hit one ace and two double faults, winning 61 percent of his first serves and converting 17 percent of break points. Faria had five aces and six double faults, winning 79 percent of his first serves and converting 57 percent of break points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-26Roland GarrosR128clayJenson Brooksby6-1 3-6 6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
61%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (50 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
87
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
90
Break points won·Dominant
22
82
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
94
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Faria J.51%
Brooksby J.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1615
Surface ELO
5.8+67 Hard Elo edge
5.5Overall Elo 1735
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1694
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Country comfort
6.8Won 79% in Usa (29)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
57
93

Faria J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw