Linda Noskova vs Katie BoulterCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
#8WTA
1976ELO
1913Hard ELO
$6.2MYTD
$11MCAREER
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#71WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLLLLWWWW
Noskova L.
6-3 6-3
Boulter K.
Noskova L.
662
Boulter K.
330

Linda Noskova defeated Katie Boulter 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati hard-court tournament. Noskova hit 9 aces to Boulter's 0 and won 81% of her first-serve points, compared to 66% for Boulter. Noskova converted 44% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Boulter's 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13OsakaR32hardKatie Boulter7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
5.0
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
92
56
Break points saved·Dominant
86
30
Break points won·Slight edge
89
84
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Noskova L.81%
Boulter K.19%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Noskova L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+118 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1795
6.8Overall Elo 1976
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1831
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
81
84

Noskova L.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d) · Boulter K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw