Sorana Cirstea vs Nikola Bartunkova — Cincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 64
Sorana Cirstea
ROU15
Sorana Cirstea
#19WTA
1957ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
Nikola Bartunkova
CZE
Nikola Bartunkova
#39WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLWW
Cirstea S.
7-6 6-3
Bartunkova N.
Cirstea S.
7762
Bartunkova N.
6530

Sorana Cirstea defeated Nikola Bartunkova in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 7-6, 6-3. Cirstea and Bartunkova each hit three aces, but Cirstea committed more double faults, 8 to 2. Cirstea converted 43% of her break points and broke serve three times to Bartunkova's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Cirstea S.Bartunkova N.
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
47%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
56%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.6
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cirstea S.Bartunkova N.
Clutch Rating·Even
68
72
Break points saved·Dominant
33
76
Break points won·Even
93
90
Deciding sets·Slight edge
85
75
Tiebreaks·
92
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Cirstea S.60%
Bartunkova N.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cirstea S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cirstea S.
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Bartunkova N.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+195 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1719
7.1Overall Elo 1956
ELO gap
2.9Overall Elo 1788
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.37 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cirstea S.Bartunkova N.
Freshness·Even
75
77

Cirstea S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw