Maxim Mrva vs Alex Barrena — Todi Semi-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
CZE
Maxim Mrva
#309ATP
1500ELO
1447Clay ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
Alex Barrena
ARG7
Alex Barrena
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWLLW
Mrva M.
6-3 6-2
Barrena A.
Mrva M.
662
Barrena A.
320

Maxim Mrva defeated Alex Barrena in the semifinals of the Todi tournament, winning 6-3, 6-2 on clay. Mrva hit 2 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 67% of break points and winning 70% of first-serve points. Mrva broke Barrena's serve 6 times, compared to 3 breaks conceded.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Mrva M.Barrena A.
1st serve in·Even
57%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
44%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
51%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Mrva M.57%
Barrena A.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Mrva M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Barrena A.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+101 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1347
6.6Overall Elo 1500
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1375
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.57 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Mrva M.Barrena A.
Freshness·Dominant
55
82

Mrva M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 102 games (7d) · Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 12%

Draw