Martin Landaluce vs Matteo ArnaldiCincinnati Round of 64

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 64
#67ATP
1727ELO
1685Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#34ATP
1830ELO
1732Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWW
Landaluce M.
6-4 4-6 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Landaluce M.
6462
Arnaldi M.
4641

Martin Landaluce defeated Matteo Arnaldi in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Landaluce hit 4 aces and 7 double faults, while winning 67 percent of his first serves and converting 43 percent of break points. Arnaldi had 8 aces, 4 double faults, 73 percent first-serve wins, and 56 percent break-point conversions.

Key context

  • Match story: Martin Landaluce edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
49%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Even
37%
39%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.4
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.1
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
59
54
Break points saved·Even
92
95
Break points won·Slight edge
17
22
Deciding sets·Dominant
89
58
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Landaluce M.47%
Arnaldi M.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1685
Surface ELO
5.6+47 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1830
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
64
77

Landaluce M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Arnaldi M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw