Andres Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones — Brownsburg Quarter-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
ECUALT
Andres Andrade
#256ATP
1505ELO
1427Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 4th on
GBR5
Jack Pinnington Jones
#177ATP
1557ELO
1547Hard ELO
$226kYTD
$568kCAREER
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWLL
Andrade A.
6-4 5-7 6-7
Pinnington Jones J.
Andrade A.
65621
Pinnington Jones J.
47772

Jack Pinnington Jones defeated Andres Andrade in the quarterfinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament, 4-6, 7-5, 7-6. Pinnington Jones hit 9 aces to Andrade's 6 and had a 71% first-serve win percentage, compared to Andrade's 69%. Both players converted 5 service breaks and committed 6 double faults each.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Andrade A.Pinnington Jones J.
1st serve in·Even
61%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
59%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.7
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Andrade A.Pinnington Jones J.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
44
66
Break points saved·Dominant
53
89
Break points won·Even
50
50
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
91
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Andrade A.39%
Pinnington Jones J.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pinnington Jones J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Andrade A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Pinnington Jones J.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1427
Surface ELO
6.5+121 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1505
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1557
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.3Won 71% in Usa (73)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Andrade A.Pinnington Jones J.
Freshness·Clear edge
53
76

Andrade A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 130 games (7d) · Pinnington Jones J.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw