Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida vs Jan KumstatHamburg Semi-final

Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#281ATP
1412ELO
1404Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#347ATP
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWW
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
4-6 7-5 2-6
Kumstat J.
Pucinelli De Almeida M.
4721
Kumstat J.
6562

Jan Kumstat advanced to the Hamburg semifinals with a win over Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida. Kumstat took the match 6-4, 5-7, 6-2.

Key context

  • Match story: Jan Kumstat closed it out in three sets, 6–4 5–7 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
58%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
55%
40%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.2
6.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Pucinelli De Almeida M.62%
Kumstat J.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Pucinelli De Almeida M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.28 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
10.010 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
10.010-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
45

Pucinelli De Almeida M.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Kumstat J.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 119 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw