Daria Snigur vs Yuliia StarodubtsevaCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#45WTA
1781ELO
1738Hard ELO
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#78WTA
1759ELO
1668Hard ELO
26 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWWL
Snigur D.
6-4 6-3
Starodubtseva Y.
Snigur D.
662
Starodubtseva Y.
430

Daria Snigur defeated Yuliia Starodubtseva in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-3 in favor of Snigur. Snigur hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while winning 74% of her first serves and converting 40% of break points, ultimately securing 4 service breaks to Starodubtseva's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Snigur closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
52%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Even
1.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (52 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
56
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
89
Break points won·Even
93
95
Deciding sets·Dominant
38
66
Tiebreaks·
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Snigur D.69%
Starodubtseva Y.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Snigur D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+70 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1668
5.3Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1759
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Snigur D.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Starodubtseva Y.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw