Oscar Weightman vs Oskari PaldaniusM15 Turku Semi-final

M15 Turku · ITF · Semi-final
#692ATP
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#1052ATP
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
Weightman O.
4-6 6-1 2-6
Paldanius O.
Weightman O.
4621
Paldanius O.
6162

Oskari Paldanius defeated Oscar Weightman in the semifinals of the M15 Turku tournament, advancing with a 6-4, 1-6, 6-2 victory. Paldanius and Weightman hit an equal number of aces, but Paldanius limited his double faults to one, compared to six for Weightman. Paldanius won 60 percent of his first serves and converted 70 percent of his break points, securing seven service breaks to Weightman's six.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
69%
51%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
2.1
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Weightman O.60%
Paldanius O.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Weightman O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
1.91 of last 6 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Weightman O.: 16 days rest · Paldanius O.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw