Arvid Nordquist vs Amit ValesM15 Turku Semi-final

M15 Turku · ITF · Semi-final
#849ATP
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#626ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLL
Nordquist A.
6-1 4-6 1-6
Vales A.
Nordquist A.
6411
Vales A.
1662

Amit Vales defeated Arvid Nordquist in the semifinals of the M15 Turku tournament, coming back from a set down to win 1-6, 6-4, 6-1. Vales hit 0 aces and 2 double faults, while Nordquist had 1 ace and 0 double faults. Vales converted 50% of break points and broke Nordquist's serve 5 times, compared to Nordquist's 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
56%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
51%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
42%
Break points saved·
64%
Aces / match·
3.3
Double faults / match·
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Nordquist A.33%
Vales A.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Vales A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
6.06 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Vales A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw