Karl Poling advanced to the M25 East Lansing semifinals by defeating Axel Nefve 7-6, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. Poling and Nefve were even in double faults at one apiece, and both converted 33 percent of break points. Poling had no aces to Nefve's five, but won 69 percent of his first-serve points to Nefve's 60 percent, and took two service breaks to Nefve's one.
No previous meetings on record.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Slight edge · Poling K. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About