Daniel Milavsky vs Rei SakamotoBrownsburg Quarter-final

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#310ATP
1349ELO
1337Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#165ATP
1608ELO
1589Hard ELO
$235kYTD
$494kCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWW
Milavsky D.
6-3 6-3
Sakamoto R.
Milavsky D.
662
Sakamoto R.
330

Daniel Milavsky defeated Rei Sakamoto in the quarterfinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3. Milavsky served five aces and committed three double faults, while converting 60% of his break points to secure three service breaks. Sakamoto had four aces and four double faults, but was unable to convert any of his break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
76%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.3
6.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Milavsky D.31%
Sakamoto R.69%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sakamoto R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.8Hard Elo 1337
Surface ELO
8.2+252 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1348
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1608
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in Usa (39)
Country comfort
5.3Won 55% in Usa (29)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
63
68

Milavsky D.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Sakamoto R.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw