Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti — Cincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
Hamad Medjedovic
SRB
Hamad Medjedovic
#73ATP
1841ELO
1744Hard ELO
$736kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
Marco Trungelliti
ARGQ
Marco Trungelliti
#91ATP
1627ELO
1496Hard ELO
$400kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWLL
Medjedovic H.
5-7 6-7
Trungelliti M.
Medjedovic H.
560
Trungelliti M.
772

Marco Trungelliti defeated Hamad Medjedovic in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 7-5, 7-6 on hard courts. Trungelliti served 14 aces and committed 5 double faults, winning 77% of first-serve points and converting 25% of break points. Medjedovic had 10 aces, 9 double faults, 64% first-serve win percentage, and 67% break point conversion, with 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13BarcelonaR32clayHamad Medjedovic7-5 6-4

Statistics

This season
Medjedovic H.Trungelliti M.
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.1
4.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Medjedovic H.Trungelliti M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
23
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
78
Break points won·Clear edge
6
25
Deciding sets·Dominant
79
42
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Medjedovic H.75%
Trungelliti M.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Medjedovic H. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Medjedovic H.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Trungelliti M.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.1+248 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.9Hard Elo 1496
7.7Overall Elo 1840
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1627
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Medjedovic H.Trungelliti M.
Freshness·Dominant
89
61

Medjedovic H.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Trungelliti M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw