Marvin Moeller vs Niels Mcdonald — Hamburg Quarter-final
Hamburg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
GERALT#327ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 1st on
Moeller M.6-4 6-0
Mcdonald N.
Moeller M.
662
Mcdonald N.
400
Marvin Moeller defeated Niels Mcdonald in the Hamburg quarterfinals. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-0 in favor of Moeller.
Key context
- Match story: Marvin Moeller handed Niels Mcdonald a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
72%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCMoeller M.72%
Mcdonald N.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Moeller M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScoreForm & Matchup
5.3+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO4.7Clay Elo 1360
5.6Overall Elo 1396
ELO gap4.4Overall Elo 1351
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
8.89 of last 10 on clay
Surface form5.35 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Dominant
57
84
Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 88 games (7d) · Mcdonald N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 34%