Tristan Mccormick vs Tiago PereiraM25 Idanha-A-Nova Quarter-final

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Quarter-final
#658ATP
1086ELO
1099Hard ELO
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#349ATP
1179ELO
1142Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWL
Mccormick T.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Pereira T.
Mccormick T.
3662
Pereira T.
6441

Tristan Mccormick defeated Tiago Pereira in the M25 Idanha-A-Nova quarterfinals, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Mccormick converted 67% of his break points, while Pereira converted 22%. The two players had an equal number of service breaks, with Mccormick having fewer aces and double faults than Pereira.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
58%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
39%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
48%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.3
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Mccormick T.28%
Pereira T.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Pereira T. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1099
Surface ELO
5.5+44 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1086
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1179
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.73 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
99

Pereira T.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw