Fabian Marozsan vs Michael ZhengCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#63ATP
1784ELO
1747Hard ELO
$765kYTD
$4.6MCAREER
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#110ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Marozsan F.
6-3 1-6 6-7
Zheng M.
Marozsan F.
6161
Zheng M.
3672

Michael Zheng defeated Fabian Marozsan in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-1, 7-6 in favor of Zheng. Key stats included Zheng's 83% first-serve win percentage and 75% break points conversion rate, compared to Marozsan's 65% and 33%, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Marozsan F.53%
Zheng M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1672
6.1Overall Elo 1784
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1695
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.54 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Country comfort
6.0Won 67% in Usa (51)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
82
59

Marozsan F.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Zheng M.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 108 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 74%

Draw