C. O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzak — Cincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
C. O'Connell
AUSQ
C. O'Connell
#129ATP
32 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
Kamil Majchrzak
POL
Kamil Majchrzak
#68ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
O'Connell C.
6-4 7-6
Majchrzak K.
O'Connell C.
672
Majchrzak K.
460

Chris O'Connell defeated Kamil Majchrzak in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 7-6 in O'Connell's favor.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
O'Connell C.Majchrzak K.
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.4
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
1.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
O'Connell C.Majchrzak K.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
25
18
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Clear edge
3
21
Deciding sets·Slight edge
5
13
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
O'Connell C.35%
Majchrzak K.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Majchrzak K. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
O'Connell C.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Majchrzak K.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.06 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.94 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
O'Connell C.Majchrzak K.
Freshness·Clear edge
75
92

O'Connell C.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 55 games (7d) · Majchrzak K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw