Sloane Stephens vs Sinja KrausCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Saturday, 15 August 2026 ·
hard
#85WTA
1736ELO
1645Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWL
Stephens S.
7-5 6-3
Kraus S.
Stephens S.
762
Kraus S.
530

Sloane Stephens defeated Sinja Kraus in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 7-5, 6-3. Stephens hit 3 aces and 2 double faults, while Kraus had 0 aces and 5 double faults. Stephens converted 57% of her break points and broke Kraus' serve 4 times, compared to Kraus' 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
59%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 58). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
59
56
Break points saved·Clear edge
26
43
Break points won·Slight edge
90
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
79
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
77
31

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Stephens S.51%
Kraus S.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
5.2+15 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1736
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
65
84

Stephens S.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Kraus S.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 40 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw