Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco PassaroTodi Quarter-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#366ATP
1385ELO
1373Clay ELO
34 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#222ATP
1592ELO
1578Clay ELO
$91kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLWLWLW
Kicker N.
6-4 6-1
Passaro F.
Kicker N.
662
Passaro F.
410

Nicolas Kicker defeated Francesco Passaro in the quarterfinals of the Todi tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-1. Kicker hit 2 aces and no double faults, while Passaro had none of either. Kicker won 74% of his first-serve points and converted 71% of his break points, compared to 50% and 33% for Passaro, as Kicker secured 5 service breaks to Passaro's 1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresQ1clayFrancesco Passaro6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
44%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
63%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.1
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
1.7
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
57
Break points saved·Dominant
50
89
Break points won·Dominant
36
11
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
81
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kicker N.26%
Passaro F.74%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Passaro F. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1373
Surface ELO
7.6+205 Clay Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1385
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1592
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
6.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
83

Kicker N.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d) · Passaro F.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw