Elvina Kalieva vs Oleksandra OliynykovaCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#120WTA
1569ELO
1540Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#46WTA
1773ELO
1572Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWW
Kalieva E.
4-6 1-6
Oliynykova O.
Kalieva E.
410
Oliynykova O.
662

Oleksandra Oliynykova defeated Elvina Kalieva in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in favor of Oliynykova. Key stats included Oliynykova's 83% break point conversion rate and 5 service breaks, compared to Kalieva's 20% and 2 breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-02W40 OtocecQFclayElvina Kalieva6-2 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
74%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
58%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
54%
51%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 36). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
78
Break points saved·Dominant
28
75
Break points won·Clear edge
87
99
Deciding sets·Dominant
36
80
Tiebreaks·
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Kalieva E.52%
Oliynykova O.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1540
Surface ELO
5.4+32 Hard Elo edge
2.4Overall Elo 1569
ELO gap
7.6Overall Elo 1773
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.45 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.3Won 54% in Usa (160)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
94
88

Kalieva E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Oliynykova O.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw