Maya Joint vs Tamara KorpatschCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#67WTA
1659ELO
1657Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$1.7MCAREER
20 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#47WTA
1668ELO
1600Hard ELO
31 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Joint M.
6-0 3-6 4-6
Korpatsch T.
Joint M.
6341
Korpatsch T.
0662

Tamara Korpatsch defeated Maya Joint in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. Korpatsch came back from a set down to win 0-6, 6-3, 6-4. In the match, Korpatsch had 0 aces and 7 double faults, while Joint had 1 ace and 2 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
56%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
52%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
56%
56%
Aces / match·Even
1.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
77
30
Break points saved·Dominant
76
2
Break points won·Clear edge
99
79
Deciding sets·Slight edge
77
66
Tiebreaks·
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Joint M.59%
Korpatsch T.41%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Joint M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+57 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1600
4.9Overall Elo 1659
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1668
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.45 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.6Won 61% in Usa (38)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
85
82

Joint M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Korpatsch T.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw