Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan — Brownsburg Round of 16

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Bernard Tomic
AUS1
Bernard Tomic
#164ATP
1475ELO
1441Hard ELO
$117kYTD
$6.8MCAREER
33 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWWW
—
Sets
Walkover
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
BB WYNNE COURT · 4th on
USA
Andre Ilagan
#210ATP
1543ELO
1518Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWWL
Tomic B.
vs
Ilagan A.

Andre Ilagan advanced to the quarterfinals of the Brownsburg hard-court tournament with a walkover victory over Bernard Tomic in the Round of 16. Tomic withdrew before the match, allowing Ilagan to proceed without playing.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-03M25 Xalapa 1QFhardBernard Tomic7-5 6-3

Statistics

This season
Tomic B.Ilagan A.
1st serve in·Even
66%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
63%
Return points won·Even
36%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
67%
Aces / match·Even
4.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tomic B.Ilagan A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
53
37
Break points saved·Clear edge
88
76
Break points won·Slight edge
8
17
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
71
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
14

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Tomic B.45%
Ilagan A.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tomic B.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ilagan A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.0Hard Elo 1441
Surface ELO
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1474
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1543
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
6.7Won 78% in Usa (36)
Country comfort
5.6Won 61% in Usa (51)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tomic B.Ilagan A.
Freshness·Clear edge
91
68

Tomic B.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 32 games (7d) · Ilagan A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 82%

Draw