Bogdan Pavel vs Philip HenningM25 Idanha-A-Nova Quarter-final

M25 Idanha-A-Nova · ITF · Quarter-final
#516ATP
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#299ATP
1461ELO
1485Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLLLW
Pavel B.
1-6 2-6
Henning P.
Pavel B.
120
Henning P.
662

Philip Henning defeated Bogdan Pavel 6-1, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Idanha-A-Nova tournament. Henning converted 40% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Pavel was 0-for-0 in break point conversions and did not manage to break Henning's serve. Both players hit one ace, with Henning committing zero double faults and Pavel making two.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
65%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
49%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
43%
Break points saved·
60%
Aces / match·
2.0
Double faults / match·
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Pavel B.12%
Henning P.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Henning P. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Henning P.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 68%

Draw