Lloyd Harris vs Mees RottgeringBrownsburg Round of 16

Brownsburg · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#175ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
ED BRUNE COURT · 3rd on
#418ATP
1468ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Harris L.
7-5 6-4
Rottgering M.
Harris L.
762
Rottgering M.
540

Lloyd Harris defeated Mees Rottgering in the Round of 16 at the Brownsburg hard-court tournament, winning 7-5, 6-4. Harris served seven aces to Rottgering's one and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Rottgering's 0%. Harris won 80% of his first-serve points to Rottgering's 74%, and secured two service breaks to Rottgering's none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
66%
57%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.2
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Harris L.84%
Rottgering M.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Harris L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.4+191 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1449
7.5Overall Elo 1665
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.28 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
43
82

Harris L.: played today · 7 matches, 165 games (7d) · Rottgering M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
25°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw