Peyton Stearns vs Harriet DartCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#53WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#143WTA
1597ELO
1580Hard ELO
30 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLWLL
Stearns P.
6-1 7-6
Dart H.
Stearns P.
672
Dart H.
160

Peyton Stearns defeated Harriet Dart in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-1, 7-6 on hard courts. Stearns hit 9 aces to Dart's 3 and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Dart's 50%. Stearns won the match with 4 service breaks to Dart's 2.

Around the match

  • It's awesome. Last year, I had the first main draw win and now this year backing it up again. Hopefully getting a second-round win.

  • I think it showed my mental fortitude a little bit. Definitely got nervous and tight at 5-4 to close it out. Found a way in that tiebreaker to bounce back.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Peyton Stearns came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-25US OpenQ128hardHarriet Dart6-3 4-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
49%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.4
1.8
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
45
40
Break points saved·Dominant
43
3
Break points won·Clear edge
96
84
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
62
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
86
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Stearns P.67%
Dart H.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Stearns P. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.2+174 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Hard Elo 1580
7.6Overall Elo 1804
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1597
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Won 67% in Usa (126)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
76
85

Stearns P.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 52 games (7d) · Dart H.: 5 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw