Jie Cui vs Aziz Dougaz — Astana Quarter-final

Astana · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
CHN
Jie Cui
#459ATP
1383ELO
1354Hard ELO
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 1 · 2nd on
Aziz Dougaz
TUNWC
Aziz Dougaz
#629ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
Cui J.
2-6 6-4 5-7
Dougaz A.
Cui J.
2651
Dougaz A.
6472

Aziz Dougaz defeated Jie Cui in the quarterfinals of the Astana tournament, winning 6-2, 4-6, 7-5 on hard courts. Dougaz hit 7 aces to Cui's 2 and converted 31% of break points, while Cui converted 100%. Dougaz won 4 service breaks to Cui's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Aziz Dougaz closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 7–5.

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-29M25 Fuzhou 1FhardAziz Dougaz4-6 6-3 5-6

Statistics

This season
Cui J.Dougaz A.
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
69%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Cui J.Dougaz A.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
0
8
Break points saved·Dominant
31
86
Break points won·Slight edge
11
2
Deciding sets·Clear edge
16
2
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
10
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Cui J.27%
Dougaz A.73%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dougaz A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Cui J.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Dougaz A.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1354
Surface ELO
5.3+21 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1383
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1390
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.66 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Cui J.Dougaz A.
Freshness·Clear edge
83
60

Cui J.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d) · Dougaz A.: 4 days rest · 4 matches, 106 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 23%

Draw