Sofia Costoulas vs Matilde Jorge — W35 Vigo Quarter-final

W35 Vigo · ITF · Quarter-final
BEL1
Sofia Costoulas
#158WTA
1565ELO
1569Hard ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
POR6
Matilde Jorge
#272WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLLLL
Costoulas S.
6-7 0-6
Jorge M.
Costoulas S.
6500
Jorge M.
7762

Matilde Jorge defeated Sofia Costoulas in the quarterfinals of the W35 Vigo tournament, winning 7-6, 6-0. Jorge and Costoulas were even in aces, 4-4, but Jorge held a higher first-serve win percentage and converted more break points. Jorge won four service breaks to Costoulas' one.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-29W75 Glasgow 1R32hardSofia Costoulas6-2 4-6 6-2

Statistics

This season
Costoulas S.Jorge M.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Costoulas S.64%
Jorge M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Costoulas S. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Costoulas S.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Jorge M.
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1442
6.5Overall Elo 1565
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1448
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Costoulas S.Jorge M.
Freshness·
100
—

Costoulas S.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw