Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Lucrezia StefaniniCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#60WTA
1805ELO
1773Hard ELO
$555kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#142WTA
1527ELO
1497Hard ELO
28 yrs · 164 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWW
Cocciaretto E.
3-5
Stefanini L.
Cocciaretto E.
30
Stefanini L.
50

Lucrezia Stefanini advanced to the next round of the Cincinnati tournament with a win over Elisabetta Cocciaretto in the Round of 128. Cocciaretto retired during the match, trailing 5-3. Stefanini had converted one of three break points and won 77 percent of her first-serve points in the match.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-01-29LinzR32hardElisabetta Cocciaretto6-2 6-0
2019-09-25W25 Santa Margherita Di PulaR32clayElisabetta Cocciaretto6-3 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
64%
76%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
52%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.6
0.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.3
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
25
32
Break points saved·Even
23
26
Break points won·Slight edge
86
96
Deciding sets·Dominant
12
60
Tiebreaks·Dominant
50
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cocciaretto E.69%
Stefanini L.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Cocciaretto E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
8.4+275 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Hard Elo 1497
8.5Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1527
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.3Won 71% in Usa (35)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
81

Cocciaretto E.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 8 games (7d) · Stefanini L.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 86%

Draw