Marco Cecchinato vs Juan Bautista TorresTodi Quarter-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#173ATP
1576ELO
1546Clay ELO
$167kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
33 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
clay
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#271ATP
1369ELO
1357Clay ELO
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Cecchinato M.
6-4 6-4
Bautista Torres J.
Cecchinato M.
662
Bautista Torres J.
440

Marco Cecchinato advanced to the semifinals of the Todi tournament, defeating Juan Bautista Torres 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals. Cecchinato hit 2 aces and did not commit a double fault, winning 69% of his first-serve points. He converted 67% of his break points and secured 5 service breaks en route to the victory.

Key context

  • Match story: Marco Cecchinato edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
57%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
47%
Break points saved·Clear edge
66%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
0.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
8
Break points saved·Dominant
79
14
Break points won·Dominant
13
68
Deciding sets·Dominant
59
4
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
34

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cecchinato M.56%
Bautista Torres J.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+190 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Clay Elo 1357
7.6Overall Elo 1576
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1369
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.27 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
75
67

Cecchinato M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Bautista Torres J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 23%

Draw