Katie Boulter vs Katie VolynetsCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 128
#71WTA
1831ELO
1795Hard ELO
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#89WTA
1786ELO
1736Hard ELO
24 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Boulter K.
7-5 0-6 6-4
Volynets K.
Boulter K.
7062
Volynets K.
5641

Katie Boulter defeated Katie Volynets in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts, winning 7-5, 0-6, 6-4. Boulter hit 0 aces and 7 double faults, while Volynets had 1 ace and 5 double faults. Boulter converted 55% of her break points and won 6 service breaks, compared to Volynets' 58% conversion rate and 7 service breaks.

Key context

  • Match story: Katie Boulter closed it out in three sets, 7–5 0–6 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-01OstravaSFhardKatie Boulter6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
60%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
47%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.3
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 51). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
14
Break points saved·Clear edge
30
10
Break points won·Slight edge
84
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
7
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
17

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Boulter K.46%
Volynets K.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+59 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Hard Elo 1736
5.6Overall Elo 1831
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1786
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
3.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
5.7Won 62% in Usa (122)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Boulter K.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Volynets K.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw