Nuno Borges vs Thanasi KokkinakisCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#47ATP
1769ELO
1714Hard ELO
$811kYTD
$5.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#440ATP
30 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Borges N.
5-7 7-6 7-6
Kokkinakis T.
Borges N.
5772
Kokkinakis T.
7661

Nuno Borges defeated Thanasi Kokkinakis in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. Borges won in three sets, 5-7, 7-6, 7-6. In the match, Borges served 18 aces and committed 3 double faults, while Kokkinakis had 20 aces and 5 double faults; Borges converted 17% of break points and broke Kokkinakis' serve once, compared to Kokkinakis' 100% conversion rate and two service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardNuno Borges6-4 7-5 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.4
16.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
57
62
Break points saved·Even
93
97
Break points won·Clear edge
23
4
Deciding sets·Even
92
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
48
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Borges N.53%
Kokkinakis T.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
67
82

Borges N.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 58 games (7d) · Kokkinakis T.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 70%

Draw