Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Michael GeertsM25 Koksijde Quarter-final

M25 Koksijde · ITF · Quarter-final
#365ATP
1387ELO
1376Clay ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
clay
#348ATP
1400ELO
1348Clay ELO
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLLLW
Blancaneaux G.
4-6 4-6
Geerts M.
Blancaneaux G.
440
Geerts M.
662

Michael Geerts defeated Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the M25 Koksijde tournament on clay. Geerts served effectively, winning 84% of his first-serve points and converting two of three break points, compared to Blancaneaux's 0% conversion rate. Geerts secured two service breaks to Blancaneaux's none, and did not commit any double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Michael Geerts edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.3
5.3
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
15
9
Break points saved·Clear edge
62
82
Break points won·Slight edge
14
3
Deciding sets·Slight edge
18
8
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
2

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Blancaneaux G.64%
Geerts M.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Blancaneaux G. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+28 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Clay Elo 1348
4.8Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1400
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
2.84 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
86

Blancaneaux G.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d) · Geerts M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw