Alex Barrena vs Lukas NeumayerTodi Quarter-final

Todi · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#259ATP
1375ELO
1347Clay ELO
$100kYTD
$266kCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
clay
GRANDSTAND · 2nd on
#171ATP
1621ELO
1598Clay ELO
$136kYTD
$576kCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLLWLW
Barrena A.
5-1
Neumayer L.
Barrena A.
50
Neumayer L.
10

Alex Barrena defeated Lukas Neumayer 5-1 in the quarterfinals of the Todi tournament on clay. Barrena did not hit an ace but converted 50% of break points, while Neumayer hit one ace and did not convert any break points. Barrena won 75% of first-serve points and broke Neumayer's serve twice.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-01M25 Antalya 1R32clayAlex Barrena4-6 6-0 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
56%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
62%
Return points won·Even
39%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
61%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
30
40
Break points saved·Dominant
43
71
Break points won·Slight edge
54
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
27
11
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Barrena A.36%
Neumayer L.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Neumayer L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
1.9Clay Elo 1347
Surface ELO
8.1+252 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1375
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1621
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
82
85

Barrena A.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 40 games (7d) · Neumayer L.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 27%

Draw