Yannick Hanfmann vs Luca Van AsscheCincinnati Round of 128

Cincinnati · ATP · Round of 128
#55ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 14 August 2026 ·
hard
#54ATP
1701ELO
1681Hard ELO
$411kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
22 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWLW
Hanfmann Y.
6-2 6-4
Van Assche L.
Hanfmann Y.
662
Van Assche L.
240

Yannick Hanfmann defeated Luca Van Assche in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-2, 6-4 on hard courts. Hanfmann hit 10 aces to Van Assche's 4 and converted 38% of break points, while Van Assche converted none. Hanfmann won 81% of first-serve points to Van Assche's 56%, and secured 3 service breaks to Van Assche's 0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQ2hardYannick Hanfmann6-1 5-7 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Even
64%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
3.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
46
31
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
77
Break points won·Even
5
7
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
50
Tiebreaks·Dominant
23
64

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Hanfmann Y.56%
Van Assche L.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.5+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1681
6.0Overall Elo 1781
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1701
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
79
78

Hanfmann Y.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Van Assche L.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw