Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams — Cincinnati Round of 128
COLQ
USAWC
Arango E.
Emiliana Arango defeated Venus Williams in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Arango converted 80% of her break points and secured four service breaks, while Williams was unable to capitalize on any of her break point opportunities. Arango also had more aces and fewer double faults than Williams in the match.
Around the match
“When the draw came out and I saw it, I was like, 'Oh man.' It's so exciting to get this opportunity. When I was growing up, I always saw her on TV, so to get to play her is really crazy.”
Arango E.WTA Tennis ↗“My coach told me, 'I don't want to see you moving slow; all I want to see is for your legs to go fast.' I tried to focus on that, tried to get as many balls back as I could.”
Arango E.WTA Tennis ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Emiliana Arango dropped just 4 games past Venus Williams.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Arango E. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadArango E.: 3 days rest · 4 matches, 91 games (7d) · Williams V.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About