Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic — Cincinnati Round of 128
CROWC
Merida Aguilar D.
Daniel Merida Aguilar defeated Marin Cilic in the Round of 128 at the Cincinnati tournament on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 3-6, 6-1, 6-1 in favor of Aguilar.
Around the match
“It was one of my best weeks in my career. When I got that run, it was unbelievable tennis.”
Cilic M.Cincinnati Open ↗“The adrenaline just pumps in before the match. You're in that kind of a tournament mindset. As soon as I got into the match, I was feeling good and hitting the ball very sweet.”
Cilic M.Cincinnati Open ↗
Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.
Key context
- Match story: Daniel Merida Aguilar dropped the opening set before beating Marin Cilic 3–6 6–1 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMerida Aguilar D.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Cilic M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About