Elina Svitolina vs Iga SwiatekToronto Semi-final

Toronto · WTA · Semi-final
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 13 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTRE COURT · 1st on
#5WTA
2064ELO
2022Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$46MCAREER
25 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Svitolina E.
3-6 6-1 3-6
Swiatek I.
Svitolina E.
3631
Swiatek I.
6162

Iga Swiatek defeated Elina Svitolina in the Toronto semifinals, advancing with a 6-3, 1-6, 6-3 victory. The match saw both players struggle with consistency, as they each hit four double faults and neither recorded an ace, except for Svitolina's single ace. Swiatek and Svitolina each won five service breaks, with Swiatek converting 38% of break points and Svitolina converting 26%.

Around the match

  • I've been feeling good on the court. This is giving me confidence. I'm trying to do my best every day, keep my routines, be really focused.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis
  • I'm for sure better focused. I feel the ball well on my racket. It's a nice tournament where there's not much fuss around, you can really focus on your job.

    Swiatek I.WTA Tennis
  • Svitolina riding momentum with ten consecutive WTA 1000 victories, including a comeback win from a set down against Alexandrova.

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Iga Swiatek closed it out in three sets, 6–3 1–6 6–3.

Head to head

34
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-14RomeSFclayElina Svitolina4-6 6-2 2-6
2026-03-04Indian WellsQFhardElina Svitolina6-2 4-6 6-4
2025-05-26Roland GarrosQFclayIga Swiatek6-1 7-5
2025-03-18MiamiR16hardIga Swiatek7-6 6-3
2024-02-19DubaiR16hardIga Swiatek6-1 6-4
2023-07-03WimbledonQFgrassElina Svitolina7-5 6-7 6-2
2021-05-10RomeQFclayIga Swiatek6-2 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
46%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
97
Break points saved·Even
83
87
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Even
98
96
Tiebreaks·Even
93
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 22:50 UTC
Svitolina E.48%
Swiatek I.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Hard Elo 1997
Surface ELO
5.3+24 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 2064
4.3Trails 1–2 on hard
H2H
5.7Leads 2–1 on hard
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on hard
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
63

Svitolina E.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d) · Swiatek I.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 81 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CPartly cloudy
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw